Taking Profits

His partner introduced him to AI in early 2022. He bought a small Nvidia position. ChatGPT launched two weeks later — he doubled. A Morgan Stanley call confirmed the thesis — he doubled again. He then publicly said he couldn't see selling for 2–3 years. Then the stock hit $800, up from $150, and he sold — couldn't stand the success. It went to $1,400 five weeks later. He describes this as one of his biggest regrets: he violated his own stated time horizon because of short-term P&L discomfort.

"I couldn't stand success. It had gone from 150 to 800. I was long-term in it. I couldn't deal with it and I sold it."

Minervini defines personal risk as the maximum drawdown from principal, which he sets equal to his max stop on an individual position (8%). His approach to protecting gains is explicit: sell into strength, always at the highest price, so you are perpetually at equity peak on exited positions. The trade-off is giving up the final leg of any move — but the benefit is that volatility is eliminated entirely on the way down, because you're already out. This creates a compounding discipline that prioritizes protecting what's been made over maximizing the last dollar.

Ryan recalls being interviewed for Market Wizards by Jack Schwager in a shared cubicle at O'Neil's office, with quote terminals shared through holes cut in the divider wall. The context underscores that the edge was never about infrastructure. His core compounding lesson: the biggest gains come from stocks that break out, make a new base, and break out again — at each new breakout you can add to a position you're already profitable in. He only adds to winners, never to losers. The multi-year move, where you buy once and ride two or three distinct breakout stages, is where serious wealth is made. Chasing by adding into a loss destroys the compounding effect entirely.

As SNDK extended into a parabolic move, Ted's approach was to build a position cushion through partial sells at technical resistance and ATR extensions rather than holding everything for maximum gain. The mindset: 2.5% per month compounding equals roughly 35% per year, which is world-class portfolio management — the goal is to protect gains so the cushion allows more aggressive positioning later. A 10 ATR extension above the 50-day was his trim signal; a bearish engulfing candle on high volume warned of a potential reversal. His acknowledged lesson: he was undersized in this trade (one of the two best opportunities of early 2026), and a pyramid to 7.5% would have made the year in a single position.

When managing a late-stage parabolic position in SNDK, Ted switches to a 5-minute chart to time partial sells. The technique: watch for the stock to push into pre-market highs, reject them on a 5-minute candle, then use the 5-minute open range lows as the trim trigger. He sold 14% of the position at 647.81 when the stock broke the 5-minute open range low — a level that coincided with a half-Livermore level breaking at 650 and the intraday opening price. For managed accounts that can't short, he uses parabolic short entry criteria as his trim signal: if this were a short setup, that is where you'd sell a long.

Ted walks through the GLD trade as a case study in a non-earnings momentum setup: gold has no EPS, but it checks every other magic elixir criterion — narrative (de-dollarization, debt, geopolitics), liquidity, high linearity, and a 10-year cup-with-handle base. He initially passed on an earlier base feeling it was too slow, then re-entered when gold reclaimed all moving averages with tight volatility. Partial sells were triggered by ATR extension signals, and the final exit came when gold closed below the 10 EMA — coinciding with futures closing below the same level and a macro shock (hawkish Fed chair nomination + CME margin hike) that forced a liquidation cascade. The lesson: commodity trade exits require cross-referencing the futures chart, not just the ETF.

A question from host Ashley: what is Gon's process for selling? He always sells into strength — never waits for a fixed price target. His method: peel off 1/3 of the position as it pushes up, then if it confirms and continues, he may add back before peeling again. He never uses static targets in small-cap high-volatility names because the range of outcomes is too wide. Strength in price action is the signal; when momentum visibly slows he's reducing, not waiting.

Host asks what price and volume clues signal that an intraday run is getting exhausted. Gon's answer: when the magnitude of the intraday move is already extremely large (e.g. 250%+), the post-market continuation will typically be muted — the stock has spent its energy for the day. He also watches subsequent attempts to break higher: if volume is drying up on those attempts, buyers are spent. Toward end-of-day, these exhaustion signals together are his cue to exit rather than hold overnight into a much smaller move.

Schwager’s second key trait — one he considers underappreciated — is patience, which operates in two distinct modes. The first is the patience to wait for the right trade: resisting the urge to always be in the market and sitting out when conditions don’t meet your criteria. The second is staying with a position long enough to realize its full potential — many traders cut winners too early, locking in small gains while their best trades are still running. Schwager notes that holding through noise and drawdowns in a profitable position is psychologically harder than it sounds, and that traders who master this skill generate returns far above those who exit at the first sign of strength.

Once in a position, Kristjan trails his stop to the 10-day or 20-day moving average depending on how fast the stock is trending. He takes partial profits on the way up to reduce risk and lock in gains while keeping a core position running. When a stock he already owns forms a new consolidation and breaks out again, he treats that as a completely fresh trade with its own rules — the original position is managed separately. This framework keeps him from cutting winners too early or violating his risk rules when adding to a hot name. Using a trailing stop on each tranche means the worst outcome on any add is losing a defined amount, never letting a winner fully reverse.

Weinstein continues the gap analysis, showing how the same gap pattern that signals a strong stage 2 entry becomes a warning when it appears in an extended stock. Using the Nvidia chart, he identifies how a third or fourth gap — appearing late in a significant move, far above the moving averages — shifts the probability from continuation to exhaustion. When that late gap is followed by a terrible close on heavy volume, the warning is clear. He explains that he trimmed Nvidia positions for clients on exactly this analysis, separating the short-term tactical view from the long-term thesis: Nvidia remains a strong company, but the technical evidence argued for reducing exposure after the exhaustion pattern appeared.

"That to me is an exhaustion gap. It's late in the move."